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Forex Strategy Outlook: US Dollar Likely to Range Trade on Low Volatility Expectations

March 16th, 2010 by

Forex options markets volatility expectations have trended consistently lower through recent price action, suggesting currencies may remain in tight trading ranges in the week ahead. Our 1-week volatility index has nearly matched its lowest levels since 2008 and shows little trader appetite for big currency swings. Of course, there are always two ways to interpret said slowdown in volatility. Some may argue that such depressed currency ranges may simply be the calm before the storm, and markets may soon see major breakouts. The more likely scenario, however, is that volatility will remain depressed through the foreseeable future. This leaves us with little option but to favor Range strategies in the week ahead.

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Forex Strategy Outlook: US Dollar Likely to Range Trade on Low Volatility Expectations

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New Zealand Dollar Testing 50-Day SMA, Australian Dollar Carving Near-Term Top

March 16th, 2010 by

The New Zealand dollar extended the advance from earlier this week and is currently the best performing currency against the greenback on Tuesday, while the Australia dollar pared the overnight advance and remains little changed on the day to maintain the narrow range carried over from the previous week.

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New Zealand Dollar Testing 50-Day SMA, Australian Dollar Carving Near-Term Top

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Light Crude 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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Light Crude 03-16

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Gold 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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Gold 03-16

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US Dollar / Swiss Franc 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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US Dollar / Swiss Franc 03-16

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US Dollar / Canadian Dollar 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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US Dollar / Canadian Dollar 03-16

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US Dollar / Japanese Yen 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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US Dollar / Japanese Yen 03-16

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Australian Dollar / US Dollar 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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Australian Dollar / US Dollar 03-16

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British Pound / US Dollar 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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British Pound / US Dollar 03-16

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Dollar Mostly Lower; Kiwi Nears March High

March 16th, 2010 by

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Euro / US Dollar 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

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Euro / US Dollar 03-16

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Currency Crosses: Technical Outlook 03-16

March 16th, 2010 by

Important tops may be in place for the Yen crosses.

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Daily Sound Bites 03.16

March 16th, 2010 by

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Daily Sound Bites 03.16

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March 16th FOMC Meeting

March 16th, 2010 by

I am of the opinion that the major tops and bottoms of a market are determined by the fundamentals of that particular market.

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U.S. Dollar Loses Ground Ahead of FOMC Interest Rate Decision

March 16th, 2010 by

The Euro tipped higher during the overnight trade to reach a high of 1.3701, and the single-currency is likely to face increased volatility going into the U.S. trade as the Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to announce their interest rate decision at 18:15 GMT.

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U.S. Dollar Loses Ground Ahead of FOMC Interest Rate Decision

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