March 16th, 2010 by
Forex options markets volatility expectations have trended consistently lower through recent price action, suggesting currencies may remain in tight trading ranges in the week ahead. Our 1-week volatility index has nearly matched its lowest levels since 2008 and shows little trader appetite for big currency swings. Of course, there are always two ways to interpret said slowdown in volatility. Some may argue that such depressed currency ranges may simply be the calm before the storm, and markets may soon see major breakouts. The more likely scenario, however, is that volatility will remain depressed through the foreseeable future. This leaves us with little option but to favor Range strategies in the week ahead.
Originally posted here:
Forex Strategy Outlook: US Dollar Likely to Range Trade on Low Volatility Expectations
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March 16th, 2010 by
The New Zealand dollar extended the advance from earlier this week and is currently the best performing currency against the greenback on Tuesday, while the Australia dollar pared the overnight advance and remains little changed on the day to maintain the narrow range carried over from the previous week.
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New Zealand Dollar Testing 50-Day SMA, Australian Dollar Carving Near-Term Top
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Gold 03-16
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British Pound / US Dollar 03-16
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Important tops may be in place for the Yen crosses.
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I am of the opinion that the major tops and bottoms of a market are determined by the fundamentals of that particular market.
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March 16th, 2010 by
The Euro tipped higher during the overnight trade to reach a high of 1.3701, and the single-currency is likely to face increased volatility going into the U.S. trade as the Federal Open Market Committee is scheduled to announce their interest rate decision at 18:15 GMT.
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U.S. Dollar Loses Ground Ahead of FOMC Interest Rate Decision
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