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The Best Stock Market Trading Programs

April 30th, 2009 by

Stock market trading programs have been giving traders of all experience levels an extra and much needed edge at finding camouflaged but profitable stocks. If you’ve ever been curious about stock market trading programs, consider this as your guide to how they work and finding the best of them.

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The Best Stock Market Trading Programs

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Beat the Market Trading Part-Time

April 30th, 2009 by

To beat the market, you have to have an edge: inside knowledge, faster access to information, uncovering trends early, or moving faster. Insider trading is illegal, although judging by some stocks’ moves ahead of important announcements, still fairly wide spread. The information advantage was effectively eliminated by the SEC’s Regulation FD.

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Beat the Market Trading Part-Time

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The Euro gains as stocks rise and investor buy higher yielding assets

April 30th, 2009 by

So shares are surging and the yen and the dollar are weakening

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The Euro gains as stocks rise and investor buy higher yielding assets

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My Day Trading Robot Analysis

April 29th, 2009 by

Day Trading Robot is the latest in stock pick software or programs which are designed to analyze past and current market data and find profitable trends. I was sick of hearing how this system has made everyone who has touched it rich so I decided to finally buckle down and test it for myself and share my results with you good people here.

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My Day Trading Robot Analysis

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Candlestick Chart Can Tell Everything We Need to Know in Trading Or Investing

April 29th, 2009 by

It is very interesting story about Candlestick. It has already been used since 400 years ago back in Japan where people used it as an indicator for trading in rice. If the price of rice is higher than the previous closing day, people use white candle and if the price of rice is lower than the previous closing day, people use red candle. Candlestick is still being used until now for representing the price both in Stock Market and Foreign Exchange Market and candlestick is used for knowing how many percent the movement of the stock market or foreign exchange in particular period. In order to analyze easily, it is packed into one platform and this platform is called Candlestick Chart; this platform means a lot for traders and investors in which they can use this platform for decision making whenever they want to trade or invest. The nice thing from this platform is for example we display one year chart and every candlestick in that chart can be displayed in one day, one week, one month or even one quarter. These all flexibilities make them easier for analyzing.

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Candlestick Chart Can Tell Everything We Need to Know in Trading Or Investing

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China’s Gold Holdings Surge 76% over Six Years

April 29th, 2009 by

Based on the title, you’re probably groaning: ‘Wait, I thought this was supposed to be a forex blog?” Bear with me, however, as this subject is extremely pertinent to forex.

Last week, it was revealed that China has been clandestinely adding to its gold reserves since 2003, to the extent that its holdings increased by 76%, to approximately 1,050 tons. The news initially sent a ripple through forex and commodities markets, which were overwhelmed by the figures involved. After analysts had a chance to gather some perspective, however, the markets relaxed. You see, although the increase seems tremendous in size, it is quite small in relative terms.

It is relatively small compared to other countries: “This places China fifth in the world, ahead of Switzerland’s 1040 tons but behind the U.S. ranked first with 8,133 tons, followed by Germany (3,412 tons), France (2,508 tons) and Italy (2,451 tons).”

It is relatively small given the six-year duration of accumulation: “I think as soon as people realized it’s not a year-on-year increase, or a quarter-on-quarter increase, people realized it should not have that big an impact.”

It is small relative to China’s mammoth $2 Trillion forex reserves: “As a proportion of foreign exchange reserves, which have risen five-fold over the same period, gold now stands at a tiny 1.6 percent, versus 1.7 percent in 2003.”

On some level, the development has at least some symbolic importance, as it demonstrates that it cannot be taken for granted that China will simply continue to plow its (dwindling) trade surplus into Dollar-denominated securities, or even currencies in general. This is underscored by the suspicious timing of the announcement; China essentially waited six years before revealing its buildup in gold, probably in order to coincide with the uproar surrounding the Dollar’s role as global reserve currency. In other words, even though China’s gold purchases in and of themselves don’t amount to much, the Central Bank of China is trying to send a message that it will defend itself against “the depreciation risk of some foreign currencies.”

The announcement also explains the recent buoyancy of gold prices. Historically, there existed an inverse correlation between gold and the Dollar. This correlation has all but broken down as a result of the credit crisis, and for the first time a strong Dollar has been accompanied by high gold prices. Part of the reason may be increased buying activity by Central Banks, including the Bank of China: “The physical market remained well-bid by an unknown buyer despite bullion prices spiking to levels that normally cooled demand…Purchases were made in Shanghai, traders said, in an effort to absorb domestic production and lessen the impact of bullion prices on global markets.”

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Profitable ETF Trading Strategies - Monitoring Global Markets

April 29th, 2009 by

How do we know that global markets are interconnected? How can that help us be more effective traders? How do global markets on to macro economic situations?

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Profitable ETF Trading Strategies - Monitoring Global Markets

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Euro Resumes Decline After Brief Pause

April 28th, 2009 by

The one-year chart of the EUR/USD depicts a general downward trend, punctuated with steep “blips.” Every couple of months or so, it seems traders are temporarily jarred loose from their mindset of Euro bearishness, and find an excuse to bid up the common currency. Invariably, the Euro then resumes its downward course a few weeks later.
euro-declines-against-dollar-in-2009
The Euro’s recent trading activity fits this mold perfectly. The global stock market rally in March was accompanied by a spike in the Euro. While equities, commodities, and even other currencies continued to rise, however, the Euro peaked after a couple weeks and has since hovered around the $1.30 mark.  As one currency strategist summarized: “A breakdown of the correlation between the euro-dollar exchange rate and the S&P index indicates the currency pair ‘ has become a trade that is less about risk, a little more about euro rate specifics.’ ”

In other words, the decline in risk aversion has not expanded to include the Euro. This is somewhat surprising, since EU economic indicators have rebounded in the last month. The oft-cited German IFO index “rebounded from a 26-year low,” while “retail sales declined the least in 11 months in April after government stimulus packages improved consumer confidence.” On the other hand, EU lending activity, which is more correlated with economic growth, continues to decline. “The European Central Bank Wednesday released figures showing that banks in the currency area cut their lending to both companies and households in March.”

This is a huge problem for the EU, where the banking sector represents a comparatively important component of the economy.. “At the end of 2007, the stock of outstanding bank loans to the private sector amounted to around 145 percent of gross domestic product, compared to 63 percent in the United States.” This is belied by newspaper headlines that maintain the banking crisis is most severe in the US. In nominal terms, this might be true, but in relative terms, the EU is in much worse shape. Given that exchange rates are all relative, it is worth paying attention to this phenomenon.

The ECB is doing all that it can to help the situation, but many analysts and even some of the Bank’s own members remain critical. “The ambiguity of the ECB’s stance is not helping [the Euro,” offered one analyst. The ECB’s next meeting is scheduled for May 7, when economists predict the benchmark lending rate will be lowered to 1%. This will appease some investors, but not all. The head of Germany’s IFO organization, for instance, has urged the ECB to slash rates down to .25%.

As ECB President Jean Claude Trichet has pointed out, lower rates will not automatically stimulate the economy: “Owing in particular to the very low rate on our deposit facility of 0.25 percent, this difference in policy rates doesn’t translate into equivalent differences in money market rates.” In fact, money market rates have largely converged across the EU and US, despite the divergence in short-term rates, vindicating Trichet.

More important, then is the ECB’s non-monetary initiatives. To quote Trichet again, “Comparing only the levels of policy rates without consideration of the resulting market rates and other economic variables is looking at just one part of a far broader canvas.” The Economist recently published an excellent comparison of the various Central Banks’ responses to the credit crisis. While some have embraced their newfound prominence, other Central Banks have shied from the spotlight, insisting that their mandates are limited to inflation targeting. The ECB probably falls into this category, as it has thus far stood on the sidelines - for better or worse- as its counterparts have turned on the printing presses and flooded their respective credit markets with liquidity. [Chart courtesy of The Economist].
central-bank-comparison
This could soon change, and “A commission headed by Jacques de Larosière, a former head of both the Bank of France and the IMF, has recommended that the ECB chair a new European Systemic Risk Council made up of its member central banks and supervisors.” Not all investors are convinced that the ECB can successfully break with tradition. “Alan Ruskin, head of international currency strategy in North America at RBS Securities…recommends investors sell the euro on ‘upticks’ as the ECB abandons ‘monetary orthodoxy’ and uses unconventional measures to spur growth.”

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How to Determine the Proper Position Size in Trading

April 28th, 2009 by

This article will look at how position size should be determined when trading. This is a very important, but often overlooked aspect of trading.

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Sterling falls as debt concerns weigh on the currency and investor short

April 28th, 2009 by

The falls in the pound were exacerbated by concerns that an outbreak of swine flu would dampen a global economic recovery

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Sterling falls as debt concerns weigh on the currency and investor short

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Thai Baht Continues to Slide, but Unaffected by Political Turmoil

April 28th, 2009 by

The value of the Thai Baht continues to erode, and the currency has now fallen 10% in the last year. It recently touched a two-year low against the Dollar. Weighing primarily on the Baht is the global economic crisis, so it is hardly unique in this regard. “The government has forecast the economy will contract by 3% this year, which would be the first time it has shrunk in more than a decade.”

Thailand’s economy is heavily reliant on exports, a category which also includes tourism.  “The tourism council forecast revenue for the industry this year could drop 35 percent to only 350 billion baht in 2008,” and “The commerce ministry announced that Thai exports fell by 23.1 percent in March year-on-year, the fifth consecutive month of decline.” This is certainly the worst economic crisis to hit since the 1997 Southeast Asian economic crisis, but the country is in much stronger shape this time around. ” ‘Both at the national government level and in the private sector, the balance sheets are much stronger.’ ” As a result, Thailand has thus far managed to stave off a run on its currency, even despite a decline in investment- both direct and speculative. The Thai stock market is sagging; according to one commentator, “Fund flows could continue to drag the market down as we see profit-taking in this region.”

The government and the Central Bank are working in tandem to relieve the situation, but there isn’t much optimism surrounding their efforts. The Minister of Finance recently announced an (attempted) expansion of Thailand’s own version of an economic stimulus plan, to $40 Billion. Funding will be provided for “investment projects in a wide range of industries such as logistics, agriculture and energy.  The Bank of Thailand recently slashes rates to 1.25%, tying a record low that was set in 2003.

However, “The decision to cut the rate by a quarter percentage point to 1.25 percent came as more than 40,000 protesters seeking to oust the government were massed in the capital Bangkok.” The political unrest in Thailand is old news at this point. It began over a year ago when then-Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra was ousted in a military coup. Since then, there have been an unending series of protests and counter-protests aimed at keeping him out or bringing him back. Basically, no one is happy with the current situation, but still there are no signs of political change. The Prime Minister has refused requests to resign, and Thaksin remains in exile outside the country.

The political uncertainty isn’t really weighing on the Baht, but one analyst warns this could change: “The baht is likely to underperform in the near term due to political tensions, which have prevented the government from undertaking aggressive fiscal stimulus.” In other words, while tourism has been impacted by the protests, the biggest problem is that the government is being hamstrung in its efforts to forge a strong response to the economic crisis.

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Forex 101 - Currency Pairs

April 27th, 2009 by

Foreign Exchange trading (Forex, hereafter) is a market that’s opened up to private investors since the 1990s, and it currently has over two trillion dollars worth of trading transactions every single day, making it the single largest market in the world. The key to forex trading is that everything has a relative value; you want to buy a currency low and sell it for more than you paid for it.

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Forex 101 - Currency Pairs

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Blueprints of How to Trade For a Living

April 27th, 2009 by

This article will present to you the framework, mindset and components required in order for you to be able to trade for a living in stocks, futures, commodities, Forex and options markets. Trading in the financial markets, whether it be the Stock Market; the Commodities Market; the Futures Market; the Forex Market; or even the Options Market; is taking big risks on your hard-earned money.

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Blueprints of How to Trade For a Living

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Profitable ETF Trading Strategies - The Hidden Power of Reentry

April 27th, 2009 by

Why is reentry so powerful? How can it help me achieve the zero state in each trade? How should I think of the cost of exiting and reentering quickly?

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Profitable ETF Trading Strategies - The Hidden Power of Reentry

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The Yen strengthens against Dollar as the U.S economic slump continues

April 27th, 2009 by

The euro fell the most in a week against the dollar and the yen on speculation the European Central Bank will lower interest rates

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The Yen strengthens against Dollar as the U.S economic slump continues

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